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The Democrats have a lock on the White House – MarketWatch

Chris Ladd, a moderate conservative who blogs for the Houston Chronicle, has mounted a compelling argument that the seemingly smashing victory of the Republicans in the midterm elections is merely the prelude to a “spectacular, catastrophic failure” in 2016.

“It became apparent from the numbers last week that no Republican candidate has a credible shot at the White House in 2016,” Ladd concludes, “and the chance of the GOP holding the Senate for longer than two years is precisely zero.”

Ladd argues that Republican support grew deeper, but not broader, in the 2014 midterms as the party swept the traditional red states but made no inroads in blue states, which now include New Hampshire and Virginia.

In his initial post-election analysis, Ladd was not firmly decided about Virginia, but concluded in a subsequent blog that if Republicans could not oust a Democratic incumbent like Mark Warner even in a midterm year with everything going for them, then the state belongs behind the Blue Wall.

This means that these firmly blue states, the Blue Wall that Ladd is describing, account for 270 electoral votes — the number needed to be elected president. Firmly red states, by contrast, add up to only 149.

In short, a Republican candidate can win only by capturing all nine swing states and flipping a dyed-in-the-wool blue state, which Ladd considers virtually impossible.

Continue reading: The Democrats have a lock on the White House – MarketWatch.

The Democrats have a lock on the White House – MarketWatch

Chris Ladd, a moderate conservative who blogs for the Houston Chronicle, has mounted a compelling argument that the seemingly smashing victory of the Republicans in the midterm elections is merely the prelude to a “spectacular, catastrophic failure” in 2016.

“It became apparent from the numbers last week that no Republican candidate has a credible shot at the White House in 2016,” Ladd concludes, “and the chance of the GOP holding the Senate for longer than two years is precisely zero.”

Ladd argues that Republican support grew deeper, but not broader, in the 2014 midterms as the party swept the traditional red states but made no inroads in blue states, which now include New Hampshire and Virginia.

In his initial post-election analysis, Ladd was not firmly decided about Virginia, but concluded in a subsequent blog that if Republicans could not oust a Democratic incumbent like Mark Warner even in a midterm year with everything going for them, then the state belongs behind the Blue Wall.

This means that these firmly blue states, the Blue Wall that Ladd is describing, account for 270 electoral votes — the number needed to be elected president. Firmly red states, by contrast, add up to only 149.

In short, a Republican candidate can win only by capturing all nine swing states and flipping a dyed-in-the-wool blue state, which Ladd considers virtually impossible.

Continue reading: The Democrats have a lock on the White House – MarketWatch.

This Is The Way “Benghazi” Ends …

Originally posted on The Dish:

Isn’t there something quite delicious in the House Intelligence Committee’s conclusion that there is nothing – absolutely nothing – scandalous about “Benghazi” apart from what we knew already: that the outpost was poorly protected and that the State Department had been complacent about consulate security? Even Paul Mirengoff has to take his lumps:

The Committee concludes, among things, that CIA personnel on the ground in Benghazi during the attack behaved bravely and made reasonable tactical decisions that saved lives, and that the CIA received all military support that was available. It further concludes that after the attack, the administration’s initial public narrative (via Susan Rice) on the causes and motivations for the attack was not fully accurate. In addition, edits made to the Benghazi “talking points” were not fully accurate, and the process that produced the talking points was flawed. However, the Committee stops short of finding misconduct or bad faith…

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Tom Toles: Political Cartoons from Tom Toles – The Washington Post

Tom Toles: Political Cartoons from Tom Toles – The Washington Post.

Tom Toles: Political Cartoons from Tom Toles – The Washington Post

Tom Toles: Political Cartoons from Tom Toles – The Washington Post.

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tearsofboehnerTanning

Christie’s Achilles Heel

Originally posted on The Dish:

His economic record:

No, as much as national pundits like to bemoan Christie’s demeanor and as much as events like Bridgegate have underscored Christie’s reputation as a bully and a back-room brawler, his biggest campaign trail albatross is a more fundamental challenge—one he can’t fix with a smart made-for-YouTube put-down. Chris Christie’s greatest challenge as he contemplates moving onto the national stage is that his own state looks to be in rough shape.

What doesn’t play well on YouTube? As many as 10,000 people unemployed because of the closure, in a matter of months, of at least a third of the casinos in Atlantic City. What doesn’t play well on YouTube? The second worst credit rating among states in the nation. What doesn’t play well on YouTube? Unlike the nation as a whole, which has more than recovered the jobs it lost during the recession, New Jersey has yet…

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